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What are my chances at CSU-Long Beach?

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I'm coming into my senior year of high school(c/o 2018.) I absolutely love CSU- Long Beach, and I've pretty much written off UCLA as being too much of a reach considering my academic performance. I've been researching, but some sites say I have a >50% chance, while others say I have a <50% chance. My cumulative GPA is a 3.66-3.7(I just finished taking an extra class over the summer that I aced, so I know that will help my GPA a tiny bit.) In middle school I took 4 high school courses: Algebra 1, Geometry, Spanish 1, and Spanish 2, but I got C's in three of those courses, and a B in one. I have only taken one AP class my entire high school career, which was AP Language Composition my junior year, that I got an A in. My SAT score is 1200: 660 Reading and 540 Math. Unfortunately(or fortunately?), I don't live in California, I'm in Maryland.

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